Alberta Foothills Weather

May 6

Since the last post it has been nothing but seasonal, boring and gray around here. A few small puffs and a bit of wind here and there, but most of the weekend was nice enough to enjoy out on the deck with friends. Everything around here is dusty dry and the farmers are out in full force tilling and seeding. I noticed today that our local ponds are still quite low even with that last shot of moisture.

To fend off the thunderstorm withdrawals I’ve been chasing along down in the states with some of the folks down there who are streaming live video of their pursuits through SevereStudios’ excellent live cam setup. Yesterday I was following along with David Drummond as he was dodging golf ball sized hail falling from a supercell near Roswell, New Mexico. Pretty amazing stuff to be sitting out here in the sticks with gray skies watching live tornado footage from 1500 miles away!

More interesting stuff appears to be on the way for us tomorrow and Thursday, with the best chance of the week for a rumbler tomorrow aft/eve, then depending on which forecast model you look at, a good soaker or dump of snow for the mountains and foothills for Thursday. A low sliding down the BC/AB border tomorrow is forecast to tighten up when it rolls out of the mountains somewhere between here and Okotoks, where it happens will dictate who gets what. The GFS has it forming over Lethbridge, the WRF has it around Sundre and the GEM closer to Calgary. The models agree most of the precip will be in the Rockies and foothills, the Limestone mountain area west of Caroline looks like the a good target. It will be interesting to see what pans out for the rest of us just to the east, will it be rain only here?

WRF model forecast temps for 6pmMST Wednesday, May7/2008WRF model forecast temps for 6amMST Thursday, May8/2008
WRF model forecast 6hr precip to 6pmMST Wednesday, May7/2008WRF model forecast 6hr precip to 6amMST Thursday, May8/2008
GFS model forecast 6hr precip to 6pmMST Wednesday, May7/2008GFS model forecast 6hr precip to 6amMST Thursday, May8/2008

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