Alberta Foothills Weather

June 12 – The beast is yet to come

Thunderstorm southeast of Red Deer, AB - June 12, 2013

June 2013 is going to be one to remember for cloud watchers if the forecast holds up.
The first two weeks have mostly accounted for what we normally get for the whole month, and there is a lot more to come.
More thundery days than not, lots of rain and even a tornado on the 12th on Pigeon Lake, right where the morning models thought there might be one. I did not trust them and trolled some dehydrated foothills weaklings instead of going north.
After chasing storms away for a few hours, all it took was parking the car in the garage to flare up a nice little cell just south of town. We hopped back in and went for a look at what turned out to be quite a pretty little thing rolling over the radar hills southeast of Red Deer. It was just bubbling away on an outflow boundary getting pushed along by a healthy jet stream above, not doing much more than air conditioning so we took it’s picture and let it go.

June 12 Carvel RADAR loop
June 12 Visible Sat loop

The GFS long range model has been painting a nasty picture for southern Alberta next week. Tonight’s run is going to have tornado alley chasers looking this way. All the ingredients are coming together for dangerous storms every day next week.

GFS Forecast for Monday June 17, 2013
GFS Forecast for Tuesday June 18, 2013
GFS Forecast for Wednesday June 19, 2013

9 Responses to “June 12 – The beast is yet to come”

  1. 1
    Brandon Says:

    Pretty little storm is right. Just glancing over the 6Z GFS for Monday and its showing a 2000 j/kg SBCAPE bullseye around YEG. It’s coming into NAM territory soon so I’m eager to see what it does.

  2. 2
    Dan Jurak Says:

    Great to see posts again Pat!

    I chose to stay indoors when we had the storm over Edmonton a few days ago.
    @ Brandon are you saying that it looks favorable for photos around Edmonton on Monday? I was planning on heading to Sask for photos. Maybe I should stick around?

  3. 3
    Pat Boomer Says:

    Should be something to see around here somewhere Brandon 🙂
    Will only be slightly bummed if it moves to the Hat.
    Sticking with the GFS for now

    Hi Dan
    The calls of doom were out that day haha, a bit overcooked perhaps…
    Have you ever been to Cynthia? Not real pretty but they get some wicked storms 😉

  4. 4
    Dan Jurak Says:

    @ Pat, Cynthia Alberta? I had to Google it as I’d never heard of the place.

    If you mean by Lodgepole, I’ve seen storms start there on radar but I was always at work and couldn’t get away. Now that I’m retired…

    You think that it’s worth heading out that way when bad weather is in the offing?

    Dan

  5. 5
    Pat Boomer Says:

    Dan the Drayton Valley pipepline produces some of the nastiest storms in Alberta. The terrain west of Cynthia is gruesome for stormspotting but if you can find a spot with a view…
    Not a good place to get pinched by a storm as escape routes are very limited.

  6. 6
    Dan Jurak Says:

    Sounds delightful. LOL

  7. 7
    Pat Boomer Says:

    Delightful for sure.
    There are amazing things for cloudwatchers to see when a foothills supercell explodes, but the mood changes quickly when golfballs begin to rain from the sky and there is nowhere to go.

  8. 8
    Brandon Says:

    @Dan: Pat is 100% correct about the ‘Drayton Pipeline’. I’ve observed some nice storms that come out of there over the years, including two back to back in one day in July 2007. If only I had a DSLR on that day. Back in 2011, I actually went into the ‘woods’ to see a storm near Cynthia and I’ll never do that again, haha! As far as Monday goes, my fingers are crossed the forecast holds, as it’s still a few days away and I’m free to head out.

  9. 9
    Dan Jurak Says:

    @ Brandon, I guess that I’ll stay around Edmonton for the next few days and see what develops. TY for the info both of you.

    Dan

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